Feb 10

  1. #economics Three takeaways from the Fed’s Monetary Policy report (Kristina Hooper)

What’s going on?

Last Friday, Fed released its semiannual report. Fed’s report shows its thinking, which can have huge impacts on global economy

Zooming out

While the reports cover many topics, the three most worth-looking are US manufacturing, monetary rules and the Coronavirus epidemic.

  • US manufacturing: Last year’s manufacturing drop was relatively mild. 
  • Monetary rules: rules are meant to be broken when uncertainty takes place. 
  • The Coronavirus epidemic: It could have a global impact, but only in the short-term.
  1. #auto Volve and Geely will merge (Finimize)

What’s going on?

On Monday, Swedish carmaker Volvo announced it’s in talks with China’s Geely Automobile to combine the two businesses into one all-powerful auto giant.

Why should I know?

  • Dealmaking in the auto sector is growing significantly last year, in response to the transformation of the industry as the need for big investment to EV is climbing.
  • Benefits: extensive combined expertise, cost synergy (very large in auto industry), extra manufacturing for Volve and higher brand equity in Europe for Geely.
  • Gee’s plan to enter Europe might be a sensible strategy: the Coronavirus outbreak causes anxious Chinese consumers to stock up on household goods, and less likely to fork out big sums for cars and the like.
  1. #insurance The French insurer Covea held an exploratory talk to buy reinsurer PartnerRe for $9B (Finimize)

What’s going on?

The title tells all. This is a normal acquisition in insurance industry

Why should I know?

  • We know what insurers do, but what about reinsurers? They are the one who cover some of the risks for insurers.
  • Funnily enough, insurers often make a loss on selling insurance policies, they invest the money their policies bring in to make money.
  • Interest rates are so low, insurers aren’t making as much on relatively safe investments. Then firms like Covea are trying to grow and diversify.

Feb 3

  1. #tech Youzan: Booming Leader of WeChat Commerce (JingDaily)

Youzan is a rising leader in providing B2B services to WeChat platform. The company helps customers listing their stocks both in their e commerce website and in the WeChat app. Youzan revenue comes mainly from subscription services and transaction fees. It is growing at a breakneck speed: GMV 200% YoY CAGR , but still lags behind the pure-play e-commerce leader Taobao (81 times larger). It is looking for further growth in the future by driving revenue from advertising and integrating the live-streaming feature in WeChat.

  1. #tech Microsoft Azure strategy pays off (SeekingAlpha)

Microsoft has recently reported its soaring-at-record-lever stock, and the star of the show is its cloud offering Azure. After winning the $10B contract with US Department of Defense, Azure has accomplished 22% of the global market (It is stealing space from Amazon AWS -45%). To continue this growth, Azure has expanded its data center presence: the newly opened data center in Qatar and Israel are the first in these 2 countries among cloud providers, and make it to the total of 56 data centers globally. Moreover, Microsoft is constantly unveiling edge appliances such as Azure Stack Edge, Azure Arc and Azure Quantum to add more values to its customers.

  1. #tech The Google Squeeze (Stratechery)

Yeah! It is squeezing OTAs. Most of the time, people choose to search their options in Google instead of going directly to OTAs’ mobile apps. Therefore, OTAs depend (a lot) on Google to control their website visitors. Traditionally, OTAs pay ads fees, then their names will be on top of Google search. It has gone well, until Google inserts more ads and also a new module including all tourism suppliers’ ads, which decreases the traffic website of OTAs. It is a serious problem for their companies as Google is the monopoly in the “search” game, and even constantly innovating to deliver better customer experience.

Jan 13

 03 most interesting news today

  1. #startup. Pitchbook

SoftBank’s new severity. In one week, four big startups in SoftBank’s portfolio decided to pare back their workforce. All these layoffs were to presage complete collapses for the companies involved.

  1. #F&B

Starbuck failed to crack Vietnam coffee market. 3 reasons: (1) Highly fragmented market with fierce competition, (2) Difference in types of coffee beans and (3) Various & fast-changing local tastes

  1. #superapp. Techinasia

Grab is betting on food delivery and financial services as the next big engines of growth, not ride-hailing anymore. 

Summary of my favorite topic: Vietnam stocks fail to reap spoils of US-China trade war

Vietnam is expected to be the winner of the trade world, but the unstable market reflects profitless prosperity. Vietnam stock market is dominated by banks (34.%) and one real-estate developer (VinGroup JSC – 16.1%).  These two industries bear so many risks for investors.

With average return on equity at 15%, banks in Vietnam are enviable bunch by any standard. However, while emerging markets staged a Santa rally at the end of 2019, Vietnamese stocks headed the other way. Besides, bank loans have already exceeded the country’s GDP level and roughly half of local banks are unable to meet the minimum 8% capital adequacy ratio.

While Vingroup has edged into auto and smartphone manufacturing, cash-cow business remains property. It is becoming problematic when land has become scarce — it’s difficult to find large parcels in the megacities of Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City. As such, the government has slowed approving new projects, sapping growth potential for developers.